Published: Sun, October 07, 2018
Sci-tech | By April Francis

Development chances high for tropical disturbance in Gulf

Development chances high for tropical disturbance in Gulf

Harrison County Emergency Manager Rupert Lacy warned Friday afternoon that tides are expected to be above-normal ahead of any possible tropical depression because of persistent onshore winds of 15-20 miles per hour.

A tropical disturbance near the Yucatan Peninsula that we have been watching this week is becoming better organized and now has a high chance of development in the next 3-5 days according to the National Hurricane Center.

If the disturbance develops into a storm, it will be named Michael.

Longer range forecast data is in general agreement that Invest 91 will move north into an environment more favorable for strengthening over the central Gulf of Mexico by Tuesday or Wednesday.

At 8 a.m. Saturday, forecasters said the system was producing rainy weather from Central America across the western Caribbean to Hispaniola.

Over the next five days, forecasters say the system has an 90 percent chance of developing into a cyclone. But the weather service cautions that even if the system doesnt turn into a major storm, it could still bring "torrential" rain to nearby coastal areas. While not now a significant threat to the United States, there is growing interest in what happens to this potential development when it moves into the Gulf of Mexico early next week.

The South Florida Water Management District said the system should be in the Gulf of Mexico by Monday, and regardless of its track, an increase of rains for South Florida, "some potentially significant", could begin early in the week.

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